Household and Living Arrangement Projections: The Extended Cohort-Component Method and Applications to the U.S. and China

Preface.- Acknowledgement.- Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION.- Part I: METHODOLOGY, DATA, AND ASSESSMENTS.: CHAPTER 2 PROFAMY: THE EXTENDED COHORT-COMPONENT METHOD FOR HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS.- Chapter 3 DATA NEEDS AND ESTIMATION PROCEDURES.- Chapter 4 EMPIRICAL ASSESSMENTS AND A COMPARISON WITH THE HEADSHIP RATE METHOD.- Chapter 5 EXTENSION OF ProFamy MODEL TO PROJECT ELDERLY DISABILITY STATUS AND HOME-BASED CARE COSTS, WITH AN ILLUSTRATIVE APPLICATION.- Chapter 6 HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS AT THE SMALL AREA LEVEL.- Chapter 7 A SIMPLE METHOD FOR PROJECTING PENSION DEFICIT RATES AND AN ILLUSTRATIVE APPLICATION.- Part II: APPLICATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES: Chapter 8 U.S. FAMILY HOUSEHOLD MOMENTUM AND DYNAMICS: PROJECTIONS AT THE NATONAL LEVEL.- Chapter 9 HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS FOR THE 50 STATES, WASHINGTON DC, AND RELATIVELY LARGE COUNTIES IN THE U.S..- Chapter 10 EFFECTS OF CHANGES IN HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE AND LIVING ARRANGEMENTS ON FUTURE HOME-BASED CARE COSTS FOR DISABLED ELDERS IN THE UNITED STATES.- Chapter 11 PROJECTIONS OF HOUSEHOLD VEHICLE CONSUMPTION IN THE UNITED STATES.- Part III: APPLICATIONS IN CHINA.: Chapter 12 HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS IN CHINA AT THE NATIONAL LEVEL.- Chapter 13 DYNAMICS OF HOUSEHOLDS AND LIVING ARRANGEMENTS IN THE EASTERN, MIDDLE, AND WESTERN REGIONS OF CHINA.- Chapter 14 APPLICATION OF HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS TO POLICY ANALYSIS IN CHINA.- Chapter 15 HOUSEHOLD HOUSING DEMAND PROJECTIONS FOR HEBEI PROVINCE OF CHINA .- Part IV: PROFAMY (VERSION 2.1): A SOFTWARE FOR HOUSEHOLD AND CONSUMPTION FORECASTING: USER'S GUIDE.- Chapter 16 SETTING UP THE PROJECTION MODEL.- Chapter 17 PREPARING INPUT DATA, COMPUTING, AND MANAGING OUTPUT.- Chapter 18 EPILOGUE: SUMMARY AND FUTURE PERSPECTIVES.