Minding the Weather: How Expert Forecasters Think
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Book Overview
A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.
Format:Paperback
Language:English
ISBN:026254881X
ISBN13:9780262548816
Release Date:August 2023
Publisher:MIT Press
Length:488 Pages
Weight:1.71 lbs.
Dimensions:1.0" x 7.0" x 9.0"
Age Range:18 years and up
Grade Range:Postsecondary and higher
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